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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Fed”
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How to trade
Fed Decision in October?
No change
89%
25 bps increase
29%
3 more
$425K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
49 trading now
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
81%
September Meeting
72%
3 more
$1.87M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
64 trading now
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
0
22%
Yes
No
1
22%
Yes
No
$5.4K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
45 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
75%
Pause–Pause–Pause
54%
7 more
$655K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
63 trading now
Fed Decision in December?
No change
75%
25 bps increase
48%
3 more
$3.8K
Vol.
Dec 9
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$33
33 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
53%
0 (0 bps)
42%
4 more
$97K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$47
43 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
85%
Pause–Pause–Pause
36%
7 more
$608K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
47 trading now
Fed Decision in January?
No change
80%
25 bps increase
27%
3 more
$850.32
Vol.
Jan 27
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
31 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$753.44
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$237
41 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$5.9K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$202
44 trading now
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