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Prediction markets
7 active markets
· category “Science”
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Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$125K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
August 30
60%
October 31
60%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
37 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 3 - August 9?
0
64%
Yes
No
1
39%
Yes
No
$1.1K
Vol.
Aug 10
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
42 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
<40
51%
100–119
51%
7 more
$533.71
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
41 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?
700mm+
44%
650-700mm
39%
8 more
$809.11
Vol.
Sep 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$57
34 trading now
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?
79%
chance
Yes
No
$1.6K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
34 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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